Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Evet 17%-2.0%
Piyasa kalitesi
80 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺15 B
Likidite
₺1,8 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
5.9%
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
10 dakika önce guncellendi
4 Oca 26 3:001 Oca 27 15:00
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Yes17%
Platformları karşılaştır· No
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketGenel en iyi%82 eşleşme · doğrulandı | Yüksek | 97% | — | ₺36,2 B | ₺1,8 Mn | 10 dakika önce | Aç → |
 KalshiBu sayfa | Yüksek | 83% | — | ₺15 B | ₺1,8 Mn | 10 dakika önce |
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
0.3%5ay
-0.3%97%
-2.0%43%
+0.5%21%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
91 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim₺4,9 Mn
24s Hacim₺36,2 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$3172 Tem25g veri26 Tem
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If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.