PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıCanlı kotasyon yok
18 Eyl 2026 02:41 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
2028 17%
Piyasa kalitesi
41 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺159,7 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
8.0% / 14.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Geniş spreadYorumlar
1
Piyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
10 Haz 26 02:31 UTC1 Oca 29 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Congress enact an increase in the retirement age for Social Security before the end of 2028?
ForecastExSocial Security COLA for 2028
KalshiWill I still feel that it is important to protect my social security number (SSN) in 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Social Security cease to be by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?
KalshiWill social security go bankrupt by 2030?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated.
- A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
- A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
- The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Açık piyasalar
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+1.0pt98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.3%98%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺14,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,3 Mn
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+1.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%92%
+11 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,8 Mn
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+11 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺8,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,9 Mn
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes-1.0pt6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺171,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺684,9 B
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+1.0pt90.1%
- Yes-1.0pt9.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺95,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺628,9 B
KALSHIJobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Above -25,00094%
- Above 089%
- Above 10,000+2.0pt85%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺553,1 B
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Recession in 2027?
- CPI core in October
- Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- CPI core in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
Sık sorulan sorular
- Social Security Insolvent by which date? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 18 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2028 için 17% fiyatlıyor.
- Social Security Insolvent by which date? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Social Security Insolvent by which date? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2029.
- Social Security Insolvent by which date? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.