Güncel ima edilen olasılık
2nd hottest 76.6%+10.5pt4 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
35 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺2,9 B
Likidite
₺265,3 B
Orta likiditeSpread
14.0 pt
Geniş spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
-19.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
6 dakika önce güncellendi
28 Ağu 26 15:14 UTC1 Eki 26 03:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Manifold MarketsThis Aug 2026 is the hottest August ever?
KalshiThis Sep 2026 is the hottest September ever?
KalshiWill summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?
PolymarketWill summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?
PolymarketKurallar
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2026 versus the data points available for all other Septembers on record.
- Note: If September 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
- If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
- If no information for September 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Açık piyasalar
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-0.9pt9.9%
- Google+0.1pt2%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺126,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,1 Mn
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- September 30-3.5pt85%
- Successful splash down?+1.0pt84%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes97%
- No3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺8,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mn
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-4.0pt86%
- Above 9-23.0pt48%
- Above 10-13.0pt18%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Sık sorulan sorular
- September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2nd hottest için 77% fiyatlıyor.
- September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ekim 2026.
- September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2026 versus the data points available for all other Septembers on record.