Güncel ima edilen olasılık
September 17 39%+9.8pt23 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
46 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺342,1 B
Likidite
₺624 B
Orta likiditeSpread
30.0 pt
Geniş spreadYorumlar
0
Piyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
4 Eyl 26 00:19 UTC30 Eyl 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by which date?
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Manifold MarketsGeneration Starship By 2150
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in the rest of September? (20 mana bonus in description)
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
