Bu piyasa sonuçlandı: September 21
Sonuçlandı: 21 Eyl 2026 18:20
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Kazanan Sonuç
September 21
7 gün kala
—
24 saat kala
20%
SürprizVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
22 Eyl 2026 16:22 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
September 195%
September 250%
No release by September 3019%
September 170%
September 280%
September 2219%
September 21100%
September 230%
September 240%
September 270%
September 290%
September 300%
September 21Kazandı
On or prior to September 9Kaybetti
September 10Kaybetti
September 11Kaybetti
September 12Kaybetti
September 13Kaybetti
September 14Kaybetti
September 15Kaybetti
September 16Kaybetti
September 17Kaybetti
September 18Kaybetti
September 19Kaybetti
September 20Kaybetti
September 22Kaybetti
September 23Kaybetti
September 24Kaybetti
September 25Kaybetti
September 26Kaybetti
September 27Kaybetti
September 28Kaybetti
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by which date?
PolymarketNext Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
PolymarketWill "The current SOTA model was released without s..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill a Mythos-tier-at-cybersecurity open-source model be released before end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
LimitlessKurallar
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
