Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 64.4%
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 dakika önce güncellendi
1 Ağu 26 16:22 UTC28 Şub 27 09:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
November 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Manifold MarketsOctober 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
PolymarketWill 2027 be the hottest year on record
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Nov 3, 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
Average global land & ocean surface temperature, measured by NOAA
- [image]Update 2026-05-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If NOAA ranks 2026 as a tie for hottest year on record, the market will resolve 50/50.
- (Identical market to: source market)