Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 63.8%
Tahminciler
110
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis14 Oca 26 19:29 UTC28 Şub 27 09:00 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Manifold MarketsSeptember 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiThis Aug 2026 is the hottest August ever?
KalshiKurallar
Average global land & ocean surface temperature, measured by NOAA
- [image]Update 2026-05-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If NOAA ranks 2026 as a tie for hottest year on record, the market will resolve 50/50.
Açık piyasalar
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+3.0pt32.7%
- 90° or above+12.0pt27.9%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt24%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺16,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,8 Mn
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+36.0pt99%
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺15 Mn
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+48.0pt92.4%
- 94° or above-2.0pt3.8%
- 90° to 91°-37.0pt0.9%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+6.0pt48.1%
- 79° or below+40.0pt45.4%
- 82° to 83°-33.0pt3.7%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+62.0pt94.1%
- 28°C-14.5pt5%
- 29°C-5.6pt1%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIHighest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- 93° to 94°+45.0pt74.6%
- 95° to 96°-11.0pt18.4%
- 97° to 98°+1.0pt3.5%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 64% fiyatlıyor.
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 28 Şubat 2027.
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Average global land & ocean surface temperature, measured by NOAA