Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

0.5% (24s)TeknolojiOne-OffSpace Weather5ay

PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel ima edilen olasılık

Evet 10%

Piyasa kalitesi

44 / 100

Düşük kalite

24s Hacim

₺137,3

Likidite

₺181,2 B

Orta likidite

Alis / Satis

9.0% / 10.0%

Spread

11.1%

Geniş spread

7g Değişim

+0.5%

Piyasa verileri

15 dakika önce guncellendi

31 Ara 25 18:1931 Ara 26 0:00

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir

Seçilen sonuç

Yes10%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 10 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/.
The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column.
If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S.

Hacim trendi

2 Tem22g veri26 Tem

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Global Average Temperature July 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)

₺6,2 B

July 2026 less than 1.095C: 0.3%

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Kurallar

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/.
The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column.
If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S.

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

0.5% (24s)TeknolojiOne-OffSpace Weather5ay

PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel ima edilen olasılık

Evet 10%

Piyasa kalitesi

44 / 100

Düşük kalite

24s Hacim

₺137,3

Likidite

₺181,2 B

Orta likidite

Alis / Satis

9.0% / 10.0%

Spread

11.1%

Geniş spread

7g Değişim

+0.5%

Piyasa verileri

15 dakika önce guncellendi

31 Ara 25 18:1931 Ara 26 0:00

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir

Seçilen sonuç

Yes10%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/.
The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column.
If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S.

Hacim trendi

2 Tem22g veri26 Tem

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₺642,7

Evet: 1%

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₺75,7 B

Evet: 36%

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

₺20,8 B

Evet: 31%

KALSHI

Global Average Temperature July 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)

₺6,2 B

July 2026 less than 1.095C: 0.3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Bu konularda aktif

BitcoinBTC$65,414.09+1.63%

EthereumETH$1,953.79+4.22%

SolanaSOL$76.63+2.82%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0734+2.28%

BNBBNB$575.00+1.08%

XRPXRP$1.11+1.37%

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Kurallar

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/.
The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column.
If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S.