Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 96%+0.3pt
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺192,1 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
2.2% / 5.0%
Spread
2.8 pt
Orta spreadYorumlar
4
7g Değişim
-0.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
2 dakika önce güncellendi
2 Oca 26 20:40 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
PolymarketMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Polymarket1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
PolymarketWill a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
KalshiWhat will happen in the rest of September? (20 mana bonus in description)
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 100 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/.
- The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column.
- If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S. Department of Defense, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus, such as a NASA press release.
Açık piyasalar
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $72,000 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+77 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺21,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺21,6 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+21.0pt57.6%
- 140-159+9.6pt20.2%
- 180-199-16.0pt20.2%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above98%
- $73,000 or above-1.0pt98%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺83,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+8.0pt69.2%
- Before March 2027+3.0pt17.5%
- Before February 2027+4.0pt8.3%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- October 31+3.2pt99%
- December 31+2.8pt99%
- September 30-17.9pt2%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-2.0pt87%
- OpenAI+1.3pt10%
- Google+1.0pt3%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 9, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Sep 9, 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- 100kt meteor strike in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 96% fiyatlıyor.
- 100kt meteor strike in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- 100kt meteor strike in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- 100kt meteor strike in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 100 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.