PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 82%
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺435,8 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
17.0% / 19.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
-0.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
2 dakika önce güncellendi
8 Tem 26 01:18 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
- Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
- The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+6.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.6pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,9 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-2.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+2.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+10.0pt70%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.2pt8%
- International Court of Justice+0.8pt6%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Sık sorulan sorular
- China ballistic missile launch by December 31? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 82% fiyatlıyor.
- China ballistic missile launch by December 31? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- China ballistic missile launch by December 31? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- China ballistic missile launch by December 31? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.