Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 74.9%
Tahminciler
19
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis23 Nis 26 08:16 UTC31 Ara 28 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Artemis III launches before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhat milestones will Artemis 3 achieve?
Manifold MarketsWhich cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
PolymarketRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?
PolymarketWill Artemis III be flown with a crewed landing?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Artemis IV is planned to be NASA's first crewed lunar landing since Apollo 17 in 1972, sending four astronauts to lunar orbit aboard an SLS/Orion stack, with two crew descending to the lunar South Pole via a commercial Human Landing System (SpaceX Starship HLS or Blue Origin Blue Moon).
- NASA is officially targeting early 2028 for launch.
- Artemis II (crewed lunar flyby) successfully flew April 1–11, 2026.
- Artemis III (HLS test in Earth orbit) is targeted for mid-2027 and must fly first.
- Both HLS landers (Starship HLS, Blue Moon) still need to complete human-rating certification.
- Resolves YES if the Artemis IV SLS/Orion stack lifts off from the pad (T-0, engine ignition and liftoff) on or before 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2028, regardless of mission success afterward.
Açık piyasalar
Tech
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors-5.0pt58.4%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons+4.0pt41.6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺66,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺62,5 Mn
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+72.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-25.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-10.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+37.0pt99%
- Houston+67.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+13.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+57.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-4.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-46.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺63 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+6.0pt34%
- 160-179+4.0pt26.2%
- 200-219-3.0pt17.5%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
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- Next James Bond actor?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Artemis IV launch by end of December 2028? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 75% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Artemis IV launch by end of December 2028? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Artemis IV launch by end of December 2028? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2028.
- Will Artemis IV launch by end of December 2028? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Artemis IV is planned to be NASA's first crewed lunar landing since Apollo 17 in 1972, sending four astronauts to lunar orbit aboard an SLS/Orion stack, with two crew descending to the lunar South Pole via a commercial Human Landing System (SpaceX Starship HLS or Blue Origin Blue Moon).