Canada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?
0.5 puan (24s)Trade PolicyOne-OffJeopolitik22g
PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 96%+0.5pt
Piyasa kalitesi
44 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺28,9 B
Düşük likiditeAlış / Satış
1.1% / 6.9%
Spread
5.8 pt
Geniş spreadYorumlar
0
Piyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
2 Eyl 26 17:51 UTC1 Eki 26 03:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?
PolymarketWill the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war
Manifold MarketsWill Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada, or an authorized representative of Canada — including a state-owned enterprise — publicly and officially announces the imposition of new tolls that apply specifically to ships traversing the Welland Canal that are bound for, originating from, or flagged to the United States ("US-targeted Welland tolls"), between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For purposes of this market, the St. Lawrence Seaway Management Corporation will be considered a state-owned enterprise of Canada.
- The tolls must apply specifically to US-bound, US-originating, or US-flagged vessels; new tolls or toll adjustments applying to all canal traffic generally, including ordinary-course tariff updates, will not qualify.
- A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Canada's present implementation of US-targeted Welland tolls, previously-unannounced prior implementation of US-targeted Welland tolls, or definitive decision to implement US-targeted Welland tolls.
- A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify US-targeted Welland tolls.
