KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Before Oct 1, 2026 (86%)
Sonuçlandı: 24 Eyl 2026 19:34
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
24 Eyl 2026 18:57 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Before Oct 1, 202686%
Before Nov 1, 202649%
Before Dec 1, 2026Kaybetti
Before Jan 1, 2027Kaybetti
Before Nov 1, 2026Kaybetti
Before Oct 1, 2026Kazandı
Before Sep 1, 2026Kaybetti
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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PolymarketMakroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
Kurallar
Arşivlenmiş etkinlik düzeyi kurallar. Her sonucun kesin şartları artık mevcut değil.
If the United States and China reach a new mutual tariff agreement, publicly announced or confirmed by both governments after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- An extension, modification, or replacement of the tariff truce in effect at Issuance qualifies as a new mutual tariff agreement.
- A qualifying agreement must address tariff rates or tariff suspensions; agreements limited to other trade matters do not count.
- Unilateral tariff actions do not count, even if the other side declines to respond.
- Reports that negotiations are ongoing, near completion, or agreed in principle by only one side do not count.
- An agreement qualifies once reached and confirmed by both governments, regardless of when it takes effect.