PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 92.1%
Piyasa kalitesi
76 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺271,5 B
Likidite
₺1,1 Mn
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
Piyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
14 Eyl 26 20:40 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026
Manifold MarketsUS x China Military clash before 2027?
PolymarketUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
PolymarketWhen will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
KalshiUS and China publicly announce a bilateral AI arrangement before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US and/or China ban at least two open-source AI models before 2027?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of the United States and China announce an AI pacing agreement between them by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An AI pacing agreement means an agreement under which both governments commit to at least one of the following for AI developers within their jurisdictions: conditioning the training, releasing, or deploying AI models on safety requirements; capping the computing power used to train AI models; limiting the rate or extent to which AI systems autonomously train or improve more capable AI systems (recursive self-improvement); or otherwise pausing or slowing the training or release of AI models.
- Both governments must announce their acceptance of the agreement.
- A joint statement will qualify, as will separate official statements from each government that, taken together, confirm acceptance of the agreement.
- A statement by one government that the other does not confirm, and statements that reference ongoing negotiations, a prospective agreement, or an intention to cooperate without confirming acceptance of an agreement, will not qualify.
Açık piyasalar
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+13.0pt81.2%
- Yes-13.0pt18.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺845,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺57,6 Mn
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+2.0pt49.5%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt33.7%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt14.8%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.1pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.8pt17%
- Gavin Newsom+0.6pt13%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,1 Mn
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-2.0pt62.4%
- Nithya Raman+4.0pt37.6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺36,1 Mn
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change59.6%
- 25 bps increase35.6%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt2.9%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Texas Senate winner?
- What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
Sık sorulan sorular
- US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 15 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 92% fiyatlıyor.
- US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of the United States and China announce an AI pacing agreement between them by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.