Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 80.5%
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15
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Oca 26 07:49 UTC15 Oca 27 07:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
PolymarketDid Something “Wild” Just Happen at Open AI?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman leave open AI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman leave open AI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketKurallar
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
- It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors.
- If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.
Açık piyasalar
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.1pt68.6%
- ChatGPT-1.9pt15.7%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺534,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺3,8 Mn
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- 1510+45.5pt100%
- 1520-9.4pt81%
- 1540+0.1pt5%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude90.6%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT0.9%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
- Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 14 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 81% fiyatlıyor.
- The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 15 Ocak 2027.
- The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026