PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Evet 89%+0.8pt
Piyasa kalitesi
74 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺11,1 B
Likidite
₺2,4 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlış / Satış
89.2% / 89.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
-1.6 pts
Piyasa verileri
11 dakika önce güncellendi
29 May 26 13:14 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
KalshiWhich countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
PolymarketWill Congress pass a resolution rejecting the U.S.–Saudi nuclear agreement by December 31?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. publish the text of its Saudi nuclear agreement by December 31?
Manifold MarketsUS x China Military clash before 2027?
PolymarketUS and China publicly announce a bilateral AI arrangement before 2027?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
- The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
- Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Açık piyasalar
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
- October 31+7.0pt32%
- September 30+2.0pt12.8%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺457,9 B
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 3128%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+27.0pt94%
- No6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺321,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺229,8 B
KALSHIWhat will Karoline Leavitt say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Trump (3+ times)91%
- Republican80%
- Inflation59%
+15 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺64,2 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺64,2 B
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition83.2%
- $10 billion to $99 billion5%
- $300 billion to $599 billion4%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺81,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+1.0pt56%
- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.7pt1%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 89% fiyatlıyor.
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Limitless.