2027 yılına kadar Maduro'nun iktidardan düşürülmesinin ABD yardımıyla bir iç darbe olduğunu öğrenecek miyiz?
ABD SiyasetiOne-OffJeopolitikLatin Amerika2ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 83.7%
Tahminciler
32
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
54 dakika önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli4 Oca 26 11:56 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if credible evidence emerges by December 31, 2026 that Maduro's removal from power on January 3, 2026 was orchestrated as an internal coup with direct US military assistance, rather than a unilateral US military operation.
- Resolution requires documented evidence that Venezuelan military or government officials coordinated with the US to remove Maduro, or that the operation was planned and executed jointly with internal Venezuelan actors.
- Resolution sources may include: declassified government documents, congressional testimony, investigative journalism from major outlets, memoirs or statements from key Venezuelan or US officials, or court filings.
- The market creator will determine resolution based on the preponderance of available evidence.
- The question hinges on distinguishing between a unilateral US military operation and a coordinated internal coup.
