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If a decree declaring a state of internal commotion (estado de conmoción interior) under Article 213 of the Colombian Constitution is published in Colombia's Diario Oficial before December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM Colombia time (04:59 UTC on January 1, 2027), this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- The market resolves to "Yes" upon publication of the decree in the Diario Oficial, whether the declaration covers the entire national territory or only part of it.
- Only a declaration of internal commotion under Article 213 qualifies.
- Other states of exception or emergency measures — such as a state of foreign war (Article 212), a state of economic, social, or ecological emergency (Article 215), or natural-disaster declarations — do not count.
- Announcements of intent without a published decree do not count.
