Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
29 Eki 2026 13:55 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiHayır 85.3%
Tahminciler
61
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
dün güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis17 Oca 24 17:42 UTC1 Mar 30 22:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will an accident involving miniaturized fusion reactors wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before 2041?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?
Manifold MarketsDid COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
Manifold MarketsWill a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2030 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a
