Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027?
One-OffBilimHealth & MedicineWeather3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 79%
Tahminciler
23
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis5 Nis 25 11:57 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will New World screwworm (maggots that eat animals alive) be effectively eradicated from the wild by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill wild-animal welfare interventions get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
KalshiScrewworm National Emergency declared by which date?
PolymarketWill Quroe's favourite animal have wacky private parts?
Manifold MarketsConfirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria:
- A "YES" outcome requires that a credible source (e.g. a government agency such as the USDA-APHIS) confirms that a free-ranging wild animal in the contiguous United States has been infected by the New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax), before January 1st 2027 at 00:00 GMT.
- Infections in humans do not count.
- Similarly, infections in pets, livestock, or otherwise captive or confined animals do not count.
- However, infections in feral animals (such as feral cats) will count.
- An example of what would qualify as a "YES" if it happened again, is the outbreak among deer in the Florida Keys in 2016.
Açık piyasalar
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+11.2pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-23.4pt55%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺6,4 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.5pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,2 Mn
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺449,7 B
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt46.1%
- Above 1+20.0pt38.5%
- Above 2-6.0pt7.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 79% fiyatlıyor.
- Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria: