Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
EmtiaTeknolojiOne-OffTicaret PolitikasıŞirket İşlemleriPolitikaABD SiyasetiJeopolitikÇinAvrupa2ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 97%
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1 dakika önce güncellendi
18 Oca 26 15:37 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
KalshiWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States acquires sovereignty over Greenland before January 1, 2027.
- Acquisition must be formally recognized through one of the following: (1) a binding international agreement transferring sovereignty from Denmark to the U.S., (2) Greenlandic independence followed by a binding agreement transferring sovereignty to the U.S., or (3) effective U.S. military control and international recognition of U.S. sovereignty.
- The resolution will be determined by official statements from the U.S. State Department, Danish government, Greenlandic government, and/or UN recognition of territorial status.
- Trump has announced he would institute "very high" tariffs against Denmark if it resisted attempts to make Greenland a U.S. territory, and refused to rule out economic or military action against Denmark.
- Trump announced a 10% tariff on Denmark and seven other European countries, with duties increasing to 25% by June 1 if a deal is not reached.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? · Before January 21, 2029 16%
- Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut — Will Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term? · No 95%
- Limitless üzerinde de mevcut — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 55%
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 97%
