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Play-money forecasting platform
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Guncelligini yitirmis23 Oca 24 10:17 UTC1 Oca 00 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the wild population of Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) become Extinct by 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
PolymarketWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiKurallar
Given the rapid advances in polar and space exploration in the 20th century, I can't help but feel kinda disappointed that we've still barely started colonisation of either.
- But which will turn out to be less disappointingly slow?
- Upon discussion in the comments, it has been provisionally agreed that a settlement is semi-permanent once people are living there for at least part of the year with intention to keep doing so, and it's permanent once someone born there and continually a resident has a kid born there too.
Açık piyasalar
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-0.9pt9.9%
- Google+0.1pt2%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺126,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,1 Mn
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- September 30-3.5pt85%
- Successful splash down?+1.0pt84%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes97%
- No3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺8,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mn
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-4.0pt86%
- Above 9-23.0pt48%
- Above 10-13.0pt18%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will there be a permanent population in Antarctica before a semipermanent population on the moon? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 61% fiyatlıyor.
- Will there be a permanent population in Antarctica before a semipermanent population on the moon? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will there be a permanent population in Antarctica before a semipermanent population on the moon? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2100.
- Will there be a permanent population in Antarctica before a semipermanent population on the moon? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Given the rapid advances in polar and space exploration in the 20th century, I can't help but feel kinda disappointed that we've still barely started colonisation of either.