Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 96.4%
Tahminciler
25
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
18 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis7 Şub 23 19:18 UTC1 Oca 32 08:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will there be a cure for schizophrenia before 2032?
Manifold MarketsBy 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on AGI by 2050?
Manifold MarketsBy 2030, will there be a cure to aging?
Manifold MarketsBy 2050, will there be a cure to aging?
Manifold MarketsLongevity escape velocity before 2030?
Manifold MarketsTestosterone unscheduled/rescheduled more permissively in US by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
"Cure" here means any treatment that can change someone's personality such that they're no longer diagnosed as autistic, or can prevent a newborn from being diagnosed.
- (Must be an actual change to the person, not a change to the diagnosis criteiria.)
- Doesn't need to be widely available or approved by any regulatory agency, just needs to exist and be shown to work without any significant doubt on the matter.
- An active brain device would count.
- Embryo selection would not count, since that's just "choosing a different person".
