Will the world population be 7 billion or less at any point before 2035?
JeopolitikOne-OffToplum ve Kültür8yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
25 Eki 2026 21:13 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiHayır 87.4%
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5
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6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis11 Eyl 26 08:13 UTC31 Ara 34 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the estimated global human population is officially reported to be 7,000,000,000 (7 billion) or less at any point between the market's creation and December 31, 2034, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- The primary sources of truth for this market are:
- The United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) Population Division, specifically via the World Population Prospects database or its official revision reports.
- The U.S. Census Bureau, specifically via the U.S. and World Population Clock or the International Database (IDB).
- Any serious sources or any world event that makes this possible.
