Will the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026?
Rusya / UkraynaOne-OffYZTicaret PolitikasıEmtia2ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 98%
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
42 dakika önce güncellendi
16 Şub 26 18:33 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will palladium prices increase by more than 5% due to U.S. antidumping duties on Russian supply by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the full AD/CVD case on Russian palladium result in a duty order by Oct 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS to impose tariffs on Denmark's imports before the 2028 elections?
FutuurWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,050 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,150 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill an AD duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia be issued by Oct 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria: Resolve YES if the U.S. Department of Commerce publishes an antidumping duty order on unwrought palladium imports from Russia (HTS 7110.21.0000) in the Federal Register by December 31, 2026.
- Background: On February 10, 2026, Commerce announced a preliminary antidumping determination with a 132.83% margin for the Russia-wide entity.
- For a final duty order to be issued, BOTH of the following must occur:
- Commerce final affirmative determination (expected ~April 28, 2026)
- USITC final affirmative injury determination (expected ~June-September 2026)
- ✅ Feb 10, 2026: Preliminary AD determination (132.83% rate)
