Will the US implement a policy for rapid shutdown of large compute clusters and training runs by 2028?
YZOne-OffRegülasyonTeknoloji2y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
25 Eki 2026 12:06 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiEvet 52.5%
Tahminciler
13
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
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12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis28 Nis 23 13:56 UTC31 Ara 28 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketKurallar
This market will resolve to yes if the US creates a policy by 2028 that requires the implementation of rapid shutdown mechanisms for large compute clusters and training runs.
- These mechanisms could include non-networked power cutoff switches for large compute clusters or remote shutdown systems on chips, with the goal of enabling swift response in emergency situations.
- Luke Muehlhauser from Open Philanthropy suggests this idea in his April 2023 post, "12 tentative ideas for US AI policy." This market idea was proposed by Michael Chen.
