Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?
One-OffReligionSociety & CultureUS Politics3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 80.7%
Tahminciler
55
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
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Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Nis 24 20:53 UTC1 Oca 27 10:59 UTC
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KalshiKurallar
In 2020, 64% of Americans identified as Christian, according to Pew Research Center.
- This marked a continuation of a long-term decline in Christian affiliation in the U.S. This market asks traders to predict whether this downward trend will persist, specifically if the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian will fall below 60% by the end of 2026.
- Resolution Details: The resolution will be based on the latest available data from reputable sources such as Pew Research Center or other credible surveys that are published by the end of 2026.
- The market resolves as "Yes" if the percentage is reported to be below 60%, and "No" if it is 60% or above.
- If no new survey data are available by the deadline, the market will resolve as invalid.
- This market design gives a clear and direct question that can be objectively verified with upcoming survey data, making it straightforward for traders to research and forecast based on trends and changing demographics in U.S. religious affiliation.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 81% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: In 2020, 64% of Americans identified as Christian, according to Pew Research Center.
