Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 59.3%
Tahminciler
28
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
11 dakika önce güncellendi
12 Oca 24 22:52 UTC2 Oca 50 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiKurallar
EDIT: fixing resolution criteria directionality about amateurs
- The Millennium Prize Problems are seven famous open problems in math, all listed together in 2000.
- One was solved; as of 2024, six remain.
- Will the next one be solved by an amateur? This market resolves YES if the very next problem to be solved is solved by an amateur, and NO otherwise.
- The close date will be extended as needed.
- For the purpose of this market:
Açık piyasalar
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 203076%
- Before 2029+17.3pt49%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺11 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 301%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 2027+0.2pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺291,7 B
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+65.0pt99%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETHow many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
- 0-19.0pt47.6%
- 1+24.5pt40.8%
- 3+6.0pt6.8%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 59% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2050.
- Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: EDIT: fixing resolution criteria directionality about amateurs