Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 54.8%
Tahminciler
3
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis7 Nis 26 01:17 UTC23 Eyl 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiWill German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government?
Manifold MarketsThe current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections?
Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiNext Canadian federal election winner?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to Yes if the German government officially enacts legislation to increase the standard or reduced Value Added Tax (VAT) rate (Mehrwertsteuer) before the date of the next German federal election.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. In Germany, the value-added tax (VAT), known as Mehrwertsteuer (MwSt), is a consumption tax collected on goods and services.
- Since 2007, the standard VAT rate in Germany has remained at 19%, with a reduced rate of 7% applicable to essential goods and services such as food, books, and public transport.
- Any change to these rates requires federal legislative action, which is subject to intense political debate and public scrutiny.
Açık piyasalar
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.8pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.2pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
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- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the German government raise the sales tax before the next federal election? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 55% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the German government raise the sales tax before the next federal election? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the German government raise the sales tax before the next federal election? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 23 Eylül 2029.
- Will the German government raise the sales tax before the next federal election? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria