Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 53.1%
Tahminciler
13
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis17 Ağu 25 10:40 UTC30 Mar 29 22:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the new the new coalition of CDU/CSU/SPD govern until the end of the term in spring 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the German government revert cannabis legalization in the next 4 years?
Manifold MarketsWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
PolymarketWill German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government?
Manifold MarketsNATO dissolves before 2027?
PolymarketEU dissolves before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, before the federal polling day in February/March 2029 (if any) or by 31 Mar 2029, 23:59 CET otherwise, the federal cabinet in office is no longer a CDU/CSU–SPD coalition.
- This can occur via: (a) the Bundestag elects a new chancellor heading a different coalition; or (b) CDU/CSU or SPD exits government such that ministers from both are no longer in the cabinet.
- Verification will rely on official listings and announcements (Bundestag records of chancellor election and cabinet composition; presidential/bundestag notices on cabinet changes).
- (bundestag.de)
- Resolves NO if, at the cutoff, the cabinet in office is still composed of CDU/CSU and SPD ministers (including any caretaker period with the same parties).
Açık piyasalar
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
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+38 daha fazla sonuç
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Sık sorulan sorular
- The current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 53% fiyatlıyor.
- The current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- The current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Mart 2029.
- The current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria