Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?
RegülasyonOne-OffCommoditiesPolitikaSeçim1yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 67%
Tahminciler
3
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis8 Eyl 25 18:27 UTC31 Ara 27 19:22 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which of the Third Circuit Judges will rule in Kalshi's favor?
Manifold MarketsWill the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?
KalshiWill Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption?
Manifold MarketsWill SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?
KalshiLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This resolves “Yes” if the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit issues a decision in Kalshiex LLC v.
- Martin et al.
- (No. 25-1892) that grants Kalshi the relief it seeks on appeal (e.g., reverses or vacates the district court’s denial of injunctive relief or otherwise rules in Kalshi’s favor). “No” if the Fourth Circuit affirms the district court or dismisses the appeal without granting Kalshi relief.
- Published or unpublished opinions count.
- If the appeal is dismissed (including voluntarily) without relief to Kalshi, resolves “No.” Sources for resolution: Fourth Circuit opinions page and the case docket.
Açık piyasalar
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺702,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺11,1 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt41%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20.6%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.6%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.6%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,9 Mn
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+16.0pt87%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+20.0pt66%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 67% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2027.
- Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria