Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 65.7%
Tahminciler
6
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
21 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Eyl 25 15:36 UTC8 Eyl 27 18:38 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the Third Circuit Judges will rule in Kalshi's favor?
Manifold MarketsWill Kalshi win its lawsuit against Maryland?
Manifold MarketsWill California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiWill Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
KalshiLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This resolves YES if Kalshi prevails in all current appellate cases on CEA preemption against state gambling enforcement, defined as:
- Third Circuit (New Jersey): the court affirms the district court’s preliminary injunction protecting Kalshi from NJ enforcement or dismisses the appeal in a way that leaves that injunction in place.
- Docket: Kalshiex LLC v.
- Mary Jo Flaherty et al, No. 25-1922.
- (dockets.justia.com)
Açık piyasalar
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺702,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺11,1 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt41%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20.6%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.6%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.6%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,9 Mn
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+16.0pt87%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+20.0pt66%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 66% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 8 Eylül 2027.
- Will Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria