Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 74.8%
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
37 dakika önce güncellendi
26 Eki 25 10:10 UTC31 Oca 28 23:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
This market predicts whether Kalshi will offer any sports prediction contracts (such as team championships, game outcomes, etc.) during January 2028.
- Kalshi began offering sports contracts in January 2025 after self-certifying them with the CFTC.
- Since then, they've faced legal challenges from multiple states, with mixed results in court.
- Some federal courts have ruled that the Commodity Exchange Act preempts state gambling laws (Nevada, New Jersey), while others have ruled in favor of state regulation (Maryland).
- The market will resolve YES if Kalshi offers at least one sports-related prediction contract (defined as a prediction on a sports team to win or lose a sporting event) at any point during January 2028.
- It will resolve NO if Kalshi offers zero sports-related prediction contracts during that month.
