Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 74.9%
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
12 dakika önce güncellendi
22 Eki 26 02:50 UTC2 Şub 27 00:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the Democrats hold 53 or more Senate seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats hold 56 or more senate seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Manifold MarketsHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
KalshiKurallar
This market resolves to YES if the Democratic Party holds 54 or more seats in the senate of the United States Congress on February 1, 2027.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Source of truth: The official composition (identity and partisan membership) published by the United States Congress (accessible via Congress.gov or official chamber directories at Senate.gov) as of February 1, 2027.
- Caucusing members: In accordance with standard Congressional counting conventions, independent members who officially caucus with the Democratic Party (e.g., independent senators who organize with the Democratic caucus) are counted toward the Democratic seat total.
- Timing & revisions: Partisan composition will be measured as of February 1, 2027.
- Any vacancies, special elections, or party switches occurring or officially recorded after February 1, 2027, will not be factored into resolution.
