How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
1.9 puan (24s)One-OffPolitikaSeçimABD Siyaseti2026 ABD Ara Seçimleri2ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini52 15.8%-1.9pt12 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
56
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-0.1 pts
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11 dakika önce güncellendi
2 Nis 25 00:16 UTC4 Oca 27 23:59 UTC
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How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
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KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
KalshiWhich prediction market will have the most accurate prediction for the 2026 midterm election?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
- By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
- If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
- Independents will count towards the party they caucus with.
- Independents who do not caucus with the Dems will not count for them, even if they usually vote with them.
