Will the Democrats hold 53 or more Senate seats in the next Congress?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim3ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 63%
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85
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
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12 dakika önce güncellendi
21 Eki 26 21:45 UTC2 Şub 27 00:00 UTC
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Will the Democrats hold 56 or more senate seats in the next Congress?
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Manifold MarketsHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Democratic Party holds 53 or more seats in the specified chamber of the United States Congress on February 1, 2027.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Source of truth: The official composition (identity and partisan membership) published by the United States Congress (accessible via Congress.gov or official chamber directories at Senate.gov) as of February 1, 2027.
- Caucusing members: In accordance with standard Congressional counting conventions, independent members who officially caucus with the Democratic Party (e.g., independent senators who organize with the Democratic caucus) are counted toward the Democratic seat total.
- Timing & revisions: Partisan composition will be measured as of February 1, 2027.
