Will the Democrats hold 56 or more senate seats in the next Congress? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 25 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 90% fiyatlıyor.

Will the Democrats hold 56 or more senate seats in the next Congress? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will the Democrats hold 56 or more senate seats in the next Congress? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Şubat 2027.

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 90%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

7 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

22 Eki 26 02:54 UTC2 Şub 27 00:00 UTC

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Kurallar

This market resolves to YES if the Democratic Party holds 56 or more seats in the senate of the United States Congress on February 1, 2027.

Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
Source of truth: The official composition (identity and partisan membership) published by the United States Congress (accessible via Congress.gov or official chamber directories at Senate.gov) as of February 1, 2027.
Caucusing members: In accordance with standard Congressional counting conventions, independent members who officially caucus with the Democratic Party (e.g., independent senators who organize with the Democratic caucus) are counted toward the Democratic seat total.
Timing & revisions: Partisan composition will be measured as of February 1, 2027.
Any vacancies, special elections, or party switches occurring or officially recorded after February 1, 2027, will not be factored into resolution.