Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 71.2%
Tahminciler
26
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Şub 24 05:44 UTC2 Oca 50 07:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Resolves positive if the long-run [20 year] global mean temperature average raises more than 2.5°C vs. the 1850-1900 average before 2050
- Resolves negative otherwise
- https://web.archive.org/web/20220518083042/https://library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?explnum_id=11178
- If the temperature reaches the threshold, then falls back below that level the contract still resolves positive.
- The temperature must heat more than the threshold in the title for the contract to resolve positive, to whatever precision measured.
- So, if a reputable source gives the midpoint temperature increase as 2.51°C, the contrast will resolve positive, but not if the source lists 2.50°C. If the source uses a confidence interval, the contract will resolve based on the reported midpoint.
Açık piyasalar
Sports
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺151,2 Mn
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+49.0pt93%
- Philadelphia-50.0pt7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺135,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺133,6 Mn
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt8%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Sara Sorribes Tormo76%
- Cadence Brace24%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺116,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺107 Mn
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz77.2%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt22.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺104 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺94,3 Mn
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R+1.0pt13.9%
- Buffalo6.6%
- Baltimore5.7%
+29 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺88,8 Mn
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 71% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2050.
- Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves positive if the long-run [20 year] global mean temperature average raises more than 2.5°C vs. the 1850-1900 average before 2050