Güncel topluluk tahmini
Raise by >5% 64.2%7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
22
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
23 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Nis 24 00:04 UTC2 Oca 00 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Fed raise interest rates in 2027?
Manifold MarketsECB Interest Rates: September 2026
PolymarketECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketECB Interest Rates: September 2026
LimitlessKurallar
Measured with the 10-yr real interest rate as calculated by the St-Louis Fed: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/REAINTRATREARAT10Y
- Baseline: Average of the 10-yr real interest rate.
- I will average the rate over the year preceding the release of Strong AI.
- I will then average the same rate, starting one year after the release of said strong AI.
- This resolves at T + 2 yr after the release of strong AI.
- Will extend indefinitely.
Açık piyasalar
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt42.3%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt1.9%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺95,1 Mn
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53.5%
- No change-2.0pt45.5%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt50.9%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42.6%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺30,7 Mn
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.4pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.5pt2%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.2pt91%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.5pt8%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.1pt1%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.8pt2.9%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will strong AI raise or lower real interest rates? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Raise by >5% için 64% fiyatlıyor.
- Will strong AI raise or lower real interest rates? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will strong AI raise or lower real interest rates? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2100.
- Will strong AI raise or lower real interest rates? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Measured with the 10-yr real interest rate as calculated by the St-Louis Fed: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/REAINTRATREARAT10Y