Güncel topluluk tahmini
Raise by >5% 64.2%7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
22
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Nis 24 00:04 UTC2 Oca 00 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the Fed raise the rate 25bps in December 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the rate 25bps at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExWill Fed raise interest rates in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed raise the rate 50bps or more in December 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExECB Interest Rates: February 2027
PolymarketKurallar
Measured with the 10-yr real interest rate as calculated by the St-Louis Fed: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/REAINTRATREARAT10Y
- Baseline: Average of the 10-yr real interest rate.
- I will average the rate over the year preceding the release of Strong AI.
- I will then average the same rate, starting one year after the release of said strong AI.
- This resolves at T + 2 yr after the release of strong AI.
- Will extend indefinitely.
