Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2026?
BitcoinOne-OffYZSociety & Culture3ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 63.1%
Tahminciler
16
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis23 Şub 24 18:01 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if there is an attempt made to scam someone that I personally know, by a technique made possible by generative AI by EoY 2026, and I learn about it.
- The scam attempt can use voice generation, video generation, or any similar form of analog AI based generation.
- The scammer must attempt to extract something (money/resources/info).
- The attempt need not be successful.
- The scam must target this individual specifically, by eg. faking voice of a friend, as opposed to eg. a mass circulated deepfake with a famous personality requesting money be sent to a bitcoin wallet.
- I'll only resolve positively if the target is someone I know in a personal capacity (friends/family/colleagues/etc).
Açık piyasalar
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 23 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 63.1% fiyatlıyor.
- Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if there is an attempt made to scam someone that I personally know, by a technique made possible by generative AI by EoY 2026, and I learn about it.