Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 71%
Tahminciler
58
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis7 Kas 22 04:39 UTC31 Ara 35 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill human-AI marriage be legal in at least one country before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Alberta become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Panama become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExKurallar
They must be able to get married in that state, not just have their marriage recognized from elsewhere.
Açık piyasalar
US Politics
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt49.5%
- No change-5.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.2pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺307,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺88,1 Mn
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+2.0pt88.1%
- Republican Party-1.0pt11.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺26,7 Mn
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+5.0pt56.3%
- D-House, R-Senate31.1%
- Republicans sweep-2.0pt11.7%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt16%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWho will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Scott Jennings+6.0pt22.7%
- Anna Kelly-3.0pt16.4%
- Danielle Alvarez7.3%
+43 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺267,9 Mn
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance22%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.2pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,4 Mr
- Florida Governor winner?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 17 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 71% fiyatlıyor.
- Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2035.
- Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: They must be able to get married in that state, not just have their marriage recognized from elsewhere.