Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 85%
Tahminciler
17
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis15 Tem 25 16:48 UTC31 Ara 28 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill any country legally recognise human–AI romantic partnerships by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketKurallar
A law affirming this status or sufficiently clear case law will count for a YES resolution.
- Lack of law forbidding it will count as NO unless there are examples of that government allowing and recognizing human-AI marriages in practice.
- Civil partnerships or other "marriage by another name" statuses will count as NO for resolution.
Açık piyasalar
AIKALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%-1.0pt97%
- Above 2.65%+32.0pt94%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mn
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba70%
- Moonshot-6.0pt14%
- Z.ai-0.3pt6%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.0pt85.4%
- Moonshot-2.8pt9.7%
- Z.ai-0.1pt1.9%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+19.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+1.0pt13%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt87%
- December 15,+1.0pt84%
- November 30,+8.0pt81%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Best AI this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will human-AI marriage be legal in at least one country before 2029? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 17 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 85% fiyatlıyor.
- Will human-AI marriage be legal in at least one country before 2029? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will human-AI marriage be legal in at least one country before 2029? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2028.
- Will human-AI marriage be legal in at least one country before 2029? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: A law affirming this status or sufficiently clear case law will count for a YES resolution.