Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitikaSeçimSociety & Culture3ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 95.2%
Tahminciler
33
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis23 Ağu 24 05:12 UTC2 Oca 27 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Democrats win every US House election in 2026 in Colorado?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran legalize gay marriage?
PolymarketWill same sex marriage become legal in japan before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?
KalshiWill gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExKurallar
This resolves YES if
- The Supreme Court does not overturn Obergefell v Hodges or
- A federal law is passed that protects gay marriage in all states and no federal court has legally halted gay marriages in any state.
- A state law being passed that outlaws gay marriage resolves YES as long as the federal protection continues and no federal court halts gay marriages in a particular state.
Açık piyasalar
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,6 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-2.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance45.1%
- Marco Rubio-1.0pt19.6%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.9%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mr
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,7 Mn
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt14%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- $LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 95% fiyatlıyor.
- Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2027.
- Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This resolves YES if