Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 93.6%
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101
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
42 dakika önce güncellendi
24 Ağu 24 22:15 UTC25 Ağu 27 20:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Pavel Durov no longer CEO of Telegram by January 1st, 2028
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PolymarketKurallar
Arrest and indictment of Pavel Durov (Wikipedia)
- Resolves Yes if Pavel Durov is actually going to prison as a result of this whole situation.
- Resolves No once the charges are dropped, or if there is a non-prison sentence, or if there is some other conclusion to all of this.
- Also resolves No if three years from now there is no meaningful conclusion to this story.
- Update (Aug 26): Regarding the exact definition of “go to jail” in this market - Pavel Durov has to be sentenced to no less than three months of actual prison (and start serving it), or has to spend 1.5 times as that (4.5 months) awaiting his trial in something generally resembling regular European/American prison, for this market to be resolved Yes.
- A sufficiently strong combination of both, or anything else resembling such incarceration, also will be a Yes.
