Will OpenAI go public in 2026?
RegülasyonYZOne-OffTeknolojiTicaret PolitikasıŞirket İşlemleriABD Siyaseti2ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 97%
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52 dakika önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli13 Oca 26 19:43 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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Futuur1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
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FutuurKurallar
Resolution criteria
- OpenAI will be considered to have gone public in 2026 if it completes an initial public offering (IPO) and begins trading on a public stock exchange at any point during the calendar year 2026.
- This includes any IPO filing, pricing, and first day of trading occurring in 2026.
- The resolution will be verified through major financial news sources (Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC, WSJ) and official SEC filings if the IPO occurs in the United States.
- OpenAI completed its recapitalization process to go from a non-profit to a for-profit in October 2025.
- According to a Reuters report from November, OpenAI was planning an IPO of up to $1 trillion as early as late 2026.
