Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 88.1%
Tahminciler
16
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 Şub 23 00:20 UTC1 Oca 28 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Pope Leo XIV cite in his text Nick Bostrom before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bill Gurley create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of Romania?
Polymarket46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner
PolymarketFIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner
KalshiKurallar
Nick Bostrom, director of the Future of Humanity Institute.
- This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years).
- The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.
- To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold account really is the entity they purport to be.
Açık piyasalar
SportsKALSHIPHI Eagles vs TEN Titans
- Philadelphia+10.0pt86%
- Tennessee-11.0pt14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺352,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺272,3 Mn
KALSHIMIN Vikings vs CHI Bears
- Chicago-9.0pt57%
- Minnesota+9.0pt43%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺229,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺185,9 Mn
POLYMARKETLoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
- Game 1 Winner100%
- Game 2 Winner+50.0pt100%
- Game 3 Winner+50.0pt100%
+58 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIGB Packers vs NY Jets
- Green Bay-6.0pt56.6%
- New York J+4.0pt43.4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺204,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺170,4 Mn
KALSHIBiltmore Championship Asheville Winner
- Jacob Bridgeman+50.0pt56%
- Ricky Castillo+15.2pt21%
- Benjamin James+10.1pt11%
+97 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIPIT Steelers vs NE Patriots
- New England+19.0pt89.8%
- Pittsburgh-22.0pt10.2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺168,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺131,9 Mn
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- CIN Bengals vs HOU Texans
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
- Philadelphia vs Tennessee: Spread
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- CAR Panthers vs ATL Falcons
- Green Bay vs New York J: Spread
- Jaguars vs. Broncos
- College Football National Championship Winner
- Philadelphia vs Tennessee: Touchdowns
- CLE Browns vs TB Buccaneers
- September 20 Philadelphia vs Tennessee
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 88% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2028.
- Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Nick Bostrom, director of the Future of Humanity Institute.