Will Nick Bostrom (philosopher, existential risk researcher) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Suç ve AdaletOne-Off3yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 96.1%
Tahminciler
28
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis12 Oca 23 23:59 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Toby Ord (existential risk philosopher) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill William MacAskill (philosopher and activist) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Robert Wiblin (charity organizer, researcher and podcaster) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Anders Sandberg (researcher and futurist) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Nick Bostrom (philosopher at the University of Oxford, existential risk researcher) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.
- Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030.
- Part of a large question series.
- Question is global -- charges in any country count.
- Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.
- Minor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. "felony") charges.