Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?
Crime & JusticeOne-OffHealth & Medicine
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 60%
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102
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis31 Mar 23 12:45 UTC1 Oca 00 05:00 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
Manifold MarketsWill the COVID lab leak theory be proven by 2027?
Manifold MarketsNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?
PolymarketTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
Here is the market in question:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory)I've tried to make it clear that I'm only going to resolve it once there's overwhelming evidence in one direction or another, no more serious concerns about relevant evidence being hidden, I'll talk to experts, etc. That said, it still ultimately comes down to my personal opinion, and, very reasonably, some people don't feel fully comfortable trusting that on such a controversial and politically charged topic.
- So, after that market resolves, I'll post a poll about whether Manifold users agree with the decision.
- (Alt accounts are ignored, and moderators count for 5x the votes of others.
- I don't get a vote myself.) If at least 10% of the vote disagrees, this market resolves YES.
- I will be trying to make sure that votes are an accurate representation of that user's beliefs, so as to avoid trolls who vote dishonestly.
Açık piyasalar
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+13.0pt65%
- Yes-13.0pt35%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺19,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺695,8 B
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-1.0pt21%
- 20265%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺28,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺376,7 B
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺554 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺325,8 B
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.2%
- 60++2.5pt39.2%
- 20–40+1.9pt10.8%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-8.0pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 60% fiyatlıyor.
- Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2100.
- Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Here is the market in question: