Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2040? 39%8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
39
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis25 Ara 23 14:25 UTC2 Oca 40 04:59 UTC
Trendler
0.5%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
Manifold MarketsWill the COVID lab leak theory be proven by 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Covid is a lab leak, which lab did it leak from?
Manifold MarketsNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
KalshiKurallar
https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory
- This market is to determine what bias, if any, exists in that market, and when it's likely to resolve.
Açık piyasalar
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺877,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺292,1 B
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,7 Mn
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺48,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺51,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺85 B
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺236,2 B
- 24s Hacim
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
Sık sorulan sorular
- When will the Covid lab leak market resolve? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2040? için 39% fiyatlıyor.
- When will the Covid lab leak market resolve? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will the Covid lab leak market resolve? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2040.
- When will the Covid lab leak market resolve? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory