Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 91.8%
Tahminciler
199
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 Oca 25 02:16 UTC1 Oca 27 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which counts will Luigi Mangione be convicted on?
Manifold MarketsWill Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder of her 3 children?
Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketLuigi Mangione tried before 2027?
PolymarketWill Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced?
Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Same resolution criteria as: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-luigi-mangione-be-convicted-of
- Except, one year later.
- This market will resolve YES if:
- Luigi Mangione is convicted of murder (any degree) in connection with Brian Thompson's death by a court of law before January 1st, 2027.
- Luigi Mangione pleads guilty to murder charges in connection with Brian Thompson's death before January 1st, 2027.
- The market will resolve NO if:
Açık piyasalar
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺19,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,5 Mn
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺28 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺692,8 B
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.5pt84%
- No-2.5pt16%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺38,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺426 B
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺553,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺258,9 B
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No85%
- Yes-2.0pt15%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺32,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺207,1 B
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.0pt7%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Maduro Prison Time?
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 92% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Same resolution criteria as: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-luigi-mangione-be-convicted-of