Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Any arrests where criminal/suspect references Mangione or the case 100%31 seçenek arasında lider
Any arrests where criminal/suspect references Mangione or the case 100%Tahminciler
23
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis16 Ara 24 16:37 UTC31 Ara 26 05:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Each proposition will resolve independently based on publicly verifiable information from reputable news sources or official court documents before the start of the trial.
- Specific resolution criteria:
- Venue change: a request for a change of venue must be filed under NY CLS CPL § 230.20
- Venue change granted: court grants motion under NY CLS CPL § 230.20
- Reference arrests: Must be documented arrests where the suspect/criminal explicitly cites Mangione or this case as inspiration/motivation
- Plea deal: formal agreement to plead guilty or no contest
