Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Any arrests where criminal/suspect references Mangione or the case 100%31 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
23
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis16 Ara 24 16:37 UTC31 Ara 26 05:00 UTC
Trendler
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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KalshiKurallar
Each proposition will resolve independently based on publicly verifiable information from reputable news sources or official court documents before the start of the trial.
- Specific resolution criteria:
- Venue change: a request for a change of venue must be filed under NY CLS CPL § 230.20
- Venue change granted: court grants motion under NY CLS CPL § 230.20
- Reference arrests: Must be documented arrests where the suspect/criminal explicitly cites Mangione or this case as inspiration/motivation
- Plea deal: formal agreement to plead guilty or no contest
Açık piyasalar
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-13.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-high+1.0pt5%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺7,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,8 Mn
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+20.0pt63.5%
- 2027-3.5pt26.1%
- 2026+5.5pt10.4%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-0.5pt86%
- November 30,85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude61.8%
- ChatGPT-4.9pt22.6%
- Grok+1.5pt7.8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺511,4 Mn
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+4.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-3.0pt12%
- Grok2.8%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-3.0pt67%
- 1490+-5.5pt50%
- 1500+-10.0pt23%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Luigi Mangione NY Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers) için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Any arrests where criminal/suspect references Mangione or the case için 100% fiyatlıyor.
- Luigi Mangione NY Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Luigi Mangione NY Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Luigi Mangione NY Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Each proposition will resolve independently based on publicly verifiable information from reputable news sources or official court documents before the start of the trial.